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ASSESSING IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS ON THE SUSTAINABILITY OF SUGARCANE....

The goal of this research was to look at the trends in temperature and rainfall changes, as well as the consequences on sugarcane output in emerging countries. The information acquired for this study was the state of climate change and fluctuation during the last 30 years, as well as other climate elements affecting the sugarcane sector. Kilombero Sugar Company Ltd and Mahenge weather stations provided climate data (rainfall and temperature) over the past 30 years (1988–2018). Other relevant information was obtained from the respondents in the study area using a cross-sectional one-point-in-time approach. Ordinary employees, both temporary and permanent, as well as contractors, out-growers, and corporate officials, were questioned. The study used 144 respondents (equal to 63 percent of the target population) and 30 key informants as a representative sample. Temperatures increased from 15 to 35.4 degrees Celsius, but rainfall decreased from 2074.6 to 406.4 millimetres from 1988 to 2018. Extreme weather events (51.8 percent), drought (54.9 percent), and floods were the most pronounced climate characteristics other than temperature and rainfall, according to data acquired through questionnaires (3.5 percent ). Climate factors, it was decided, are major drivers in the worldwide sugarcane industry's sustainability, and their change and unpredictability are hastened by a variety of factors. More research is needed to establish the relationship between climate elements (temperature, rainfall) and sugarcane yields during the past 30 years, and to monitor any subsequent changes in these parameters, based on the findings of this study.



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